CA Paranaense
Home
Sat, 30 May 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 1-0
Mirassol FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
50.6%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.72-0.80; Elo differential is 35. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 23.3pp; entropy 0.94. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 4 vs 18.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| CA Paranaense | Mirassol FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.33 | 1.18 |
| Avg goals against | 1.05 | 1.33 |
| BTTS rate | 54% | 58% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 4 | 18 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
CA Paranaense win
50.6%
Draw
27.3%
Mirassol FC win
22.2%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46.6%
No
53.4%
Double Chance
1X (CA Paranaense or draw)
77.8%
X2 (draw or Mirassol FC)
49.4%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.1%
Over 1.5
72.1%
Under 1.5
27.9%
Over 2.5
45.3%
Under 2.5
54.7%
Over 3.5
23.8%
Under 3.5
76.2%
Under 4.5
89.5%
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense clean sheet
44.5%
Mirassol FC clean sheet
17.8%
Draw No Bet
CA Paranaense win
69.5%
Mirassol FC win
30.5%