EC Bahia
Home
Sat, 30 May 2026 20:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 2-1
Botafogo FR
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
40.6%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.62-1.24; Elo differential is 5. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 9.0pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 8 vs 10.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| EC Bahia | Botafogo FR | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.41 | 1.84 |
| Avg goals against | 1.47 | 1.67 |
| BTTS rate | 66% | 81% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 8 | 10 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
EC Bahia win
40.6%
Draw
27.9%
Botafogo FR win
31.6%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Double Chance
1X (EC Bahia or draw)
68.4%
X2 (draw or Botafogo FR)
59.4%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.2%
Over 1.5
77.7%
Under 1.5
22.3%
Over 2.5
53.2%
Under 2.5
46.8%
Over 3.5
29.9%
Under 3.5
70.1%
Under 4.5
85.7%
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia clean sheet
28.6%
Botafogo FR clean sheet
20.6%
Draw No Bet
EC Bahia win
56.3%
Botafogo FR win
43.7%