Cruzeiro EC
Home
Sun, 31 May 2026 23:30 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 1-1
Fluminense FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
40.6%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.40-1.02; Elo differential is 33. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 10.1pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 11 vs 4.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| Cruzeiro EC | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.39 | 1.53 |
| Avg goals against | 1.38 | 1.20 |
| BTTS rate | 63% | 61% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 11 | 4 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Cruzeiro EC win
40.6%
Draw
29.0%
Fluminense FC win
30.5%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50.2%
No
49.8%
Double Chance
1X (Cruzeiro EC or draw)
69.5%
X2 (draw or Fluminense FC)
59.4%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
90.3%
Over 1.5
71.5%
Under 1.5
28.5%
Over 2.5
43.5%
Under 2.5
56.5%
Over 3.5
22.3%
Under 3.5
77.7%
Under 4.5
90.7%
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC clean sheet
35.3%
Fluminense FC clean sheet
24.2%
Draw No Bet
Cruzeiro EC win
57.1%
Fluminense FC win
42.9%