Grêmio FBPA
Home
Sat, 30 May 2026 20:30 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 1-3
SC Corinthians Paulista
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
44.9%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.15-1.06; Elo differential is 53. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 16.7pp; entropy 0.97. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 13 vs 15.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| Grêmio FBPA | SC Corinthians Paulista | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.15 | 0.98 |
| Avg goals against | 1.16 | 1.14 |
| BTTS rate | 49% | 49% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 13 | 15 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Grêmio FBPA win
44.9%
Draw
28.2%
SC Corinthians Paulista win
26.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46.8%
No
53.2%
Double Chance
1X (Grêmio FBPA or draw)
73.1%
X2 (draw or SC Corinthians Paulista)
55.1%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
88.9%
Over 1.5
67.0%
Under 1.5
33.0%
Over 2.5
38.5%
Under 2.5
61.5%
Over 3.5
18.7%
Under 3.5
81.3%
Under 4.5
93.2%
Clean Sheet
Grêmio FBPA clean sheet
33.9%
SC Corinthians Paulista clean sheet
30.3%
Draw No Bet
Grêmio FBPA win
62.5%
SC Corinthians Paulista win
37.5%