SE Palmeiras
Home
Sun, 31 May 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
3-0
Final score: 1-0
Chapecoense AF
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
72.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 3.01-0.67; Elo differential is 306. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 53.6pp; entropy 0.70. Selective pick: ELITE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 1 vs 20.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| SE Palmeiras | Chapecoense AF | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.62 | 0.99 |
| Avg goals against | 0.73 | 2.04 |
| BTTS rate | 58% | 71% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 1 | 20 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
SE Palmeiras win
72.3%
Draw
18.6%
Chapecoense AF win
9.1%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46.3%
No
53.7%
Double Chance
1X (SE Palmeiras or draw)
90.9%
X2 (draw or Chapecoense AF)
27.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
96.9%
Over 1.5
86.8%
Under 1.5
13.2%
Over 2.5
69.1%
Under 2.5
30.9%
Over 3.5
46.0%
Under 3.5
54.0%
Under 4.5
72.8%
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras clean sheet
51.6%
Chapecoense AF clean sheet
5.2%
Draw No Bet
SE Palmeiras win
88.9%
Chapecoense AF win
11.1%