Santos FC
Home
Sat, 30 May 2026 23:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 3-1
EC Vitória
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
45.5%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.59-0.90; Elo differential is 23. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 16.4pp; entropy 0.97. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 17 vs 12.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| Santos FC | EC Vitória | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.40 | 1.26 |
| Avg goals against | 1.54 | 1.28 |
| BTTS rate | 62% | 40% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 17 | 12 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Santos FC win
45.5%
Draw
29.0%
EC Vitória win
25.5%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49.3%
No
50.7%
Double Chance
1X (Santos FC or draw)
74.5%
X2 (draw or EC Vitória)
54.5%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.5%
Over 1.5
71.9%
Under 1.5
28.1%
Over 2.5
44.8%
Under 2.5
55.2%
Over 3.5
23.8%
Under 3.5
76.2%
Under 4.5
89.8%
Clean Sheet
Santos FC clean sheet
38.9%
EC Vitória clean sheet
20.3%
Draw No Bet
Santos FC win
64.1%
EC Vitória win
35.9%