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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A FINISHED
CR Vasco da Gama Home
Sun, 31 May 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 0-1
CA Mineiro Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed Exact score missed

Confidence

38.3%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.19-1.35; Elo differential is 41. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 5.5pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 17 vs 14.

Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC

Team form

CR Vasco da GamaCA Mineiro
Avg goals for1.251.31
Avg goals against1.761.30
BTTS rate63%40%
Games sampled——
Position1714

Full market breakdown

1X2

CR Vasco da Gama win
38.3%
Draw
29.0%
CA Mineiro win
32.8%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%

Double Chance

1X (CR Vasco da Gama or draw)
67.2%
X2 (draw or CA Mineiro)
61.7%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
91.4%
Over 1.5
71.8%
Under 1.5
28.2%
Over 2.5
45.2%
Under 2.5
54.8%
Over 3.5
23.2%
Under 3.5
76.8%
Under 4.5
89.9%

Clean Sheet

CR Vasco da Gama clean sheet
26.4%
CA Mineiro clean sheet
30.4%

Draw No Bet

CR Vasco da Gama win
53.9%
CA Mineiro win
46.1%