CA Paranaense
Home
Sat, 25 Jul 2026 21:30 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 2-0
SC Internacional
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
51.8%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.59-0.68; Elo differential is 105. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 24.4pp; entropy 0.93. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 3 vs 14.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| CA Paranaense | SC Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.38 | 1.21 |
| Avg goals against | 0.97 | 1.40 |
| BTTS rate | 55% | 60% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 3 | 14 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
CA Paranaense win
51.8%
Draw
27.3%
SC Internacional win
20.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41.3%
No
58.7%
Double Chance
1X (CA Paranaense or draw)
79.1%
X2 (draw or SC Internacional)
48.2%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
90.1%
Over 1.5
69.5%
Under 1.5
30.5%
Over 2.5
40.2%
Under 2.5
59.8%
Over 3.5
19.0%
Under 3.5
81.0%
Under 4.5
91.9%
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense clean sheet
50.3%
SC Internacional clean sheet
18.3%
Draw No Bet
CA Paranaense win
71.2%
SC Internacional win
28.8%