CR Vasco da Gama
Home
Sat, 25 Jul 2026 23:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 1-1
Mirassol FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
37.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.44-1.38; Elo differential is -12. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 4.3pp; entropy 1.00. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 17 vs 18.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| CR Vasco da Gama | Mirassol FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.03 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals against | 1.62 | 1.26 |
| BTTS rate | 53% | 59% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 17 | 18 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
CR Vasco da Gama win
37.0%
Draw
30.3%
Mirassol FC win
32.7%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57.2%
No
42.8%
Double Chance
1X (CR Vasco da Gama or draw)
67.3%
X2 (draw or Mirassol FC)
63.0%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.9%
Over 1.5
77.1%
Under 1.5
22.9%
Over 2.5
51.0%
Under 2.5
49.0%
Over 3.5
29.2%
Under 3.5
70.8%
Under 4.5
86.4%
Clean Sheet
CR Vasco da Gama clean sheet
25.7%
Mirassol FC clean sheet
24.2%
Draw No Bet
CR Vasco da Gama win
53.1%
Mirassol FC win
46.9%