São Paulo FC
Home
Fri, 02 Oct 2026 23:00 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 1-2
Santos FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
37.1%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.38-1.33; Elo differential is 12. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 2.2pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 11 vs 8.
Predicted at 24 Sep 2026, 15:30 UTC
Team form
| São Paulo FC | Santos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.08 | 1.66 |
| Avg goals against | 1.14 | 1.31 |
| BTTS rate | 51% | 67% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 11 | 8 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
São Paulo FC win
37.1%
Draw
28.0%
Santos FC win
34.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%
Double Chance
1X (São Paulo FC or draw)
65.1%
X2 (draw or Santos FC)
62.9%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.2%
Over 1.5
76.6%
Under 1.5
23.4%
Over 2.5
51.0%
Under 2.5
49.0%
Over 3.5
28.9%
Under 3.5
71.1%
Under 4.5
86.1%
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC clean sheet
26.3%
Santos FC clean sheet
25.2%
Draw No Bet
São Paulo FC win
51.5%
Santos FC win
48.5%