CA Paranaense
Home
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 14:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 3-3
Fluminense FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
45.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.39-0.86; Elo differential is 14. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 17.3pp; entropy 0.97. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 3 vs 4.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| CA Paranaense | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.49 | 1.49 |
| Avg goals against | 0.84 | 1.13 |
| BTTS rate | 51% | 75% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 3 | 4 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
CA Paranaense win
45.3%
Draw
28.0%
Fluminense FC win
26.7%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45.0%
No
55.0%
Double Chance
1X (CA Paranaense or draw)
73.3%
X2 (draw or Fluminense FC)
54.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
89.0%
Over 1.5
67.9%
Under 1.5
32.1%
Over 2.5
39.8%
Under 2.5
60.2%
Over 3.5
18.5%
Under 3.5
81.5%
Under 4.5
92.4%
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense clean sheet
41.9%
Fluminense FC clean sheet
24.1%
Draw No Bet
CA Paranaense win
62.9%
Fluminense FC win
37.1%