EC Bahia
Home
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 22:30 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 3-2
SC Internacional
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
53.9%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.53-0.89; Elo differential is 124. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 28.0pp; entropy 0.92. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 6 vs 15.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| EC Bahia | SC Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.40 | 0.93 |
| Avg goals against | 1.10 | 1.18 |
| BTTS rate | 57% | 55% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 6 | 15 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
EC Bahia win
53.9%
Draw
26.0%
SC Internacional win
20.1%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47.6%
No
52.4%
Double Chance
1X (EC Bahia or draw)
79.9%
X2 (draw or SC Internacional)
46.1%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
90.2%
Over 1.5
70.7%
Under 1.5
29.3%
Over 2.5
43.6%
Under 2.5
56.4%
Over 3.5
22.2%
Under 3.5
77.8%
Under 4.5
90.7%
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia clean sheet
40.5%
SC Internacional clean sheet
21.7%
Draw No Bet
EC Bahia win
72.9%
SC Internacional win
27.1%