SC Corinthians Paulista
Home
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 0-1
Santos FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
48.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.55-0.96; Elo differential is 89. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 22.3pp; entropy 0.96. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 10 vs 14.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| SC Corinthians Paulista | Santos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Avg goals against | 1.04 | 1.43 |
| BTTS rate | 53% | 63% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 10 | 14 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
SC Corinthians Paulista win
48.3%
Draw
26.0%
Santos FC win
25.7%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49.6%
No
50.4%
Double Chance
1X (SC Corinthians Paulista or draw)
74.3%
X2 (draw or Santos FC)
51.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.7%
Over 1.5
73.2%
Under 1.5
26.8%
Over 2.5
45.4%
Under 2.5
54.6%
Over 3.5
23.3%
Under 3.5
76.7%
Under 4.5
89.3%
Clean Sheet
SC Corinthians Paulista clean sheet
37.9%
Santos FC clean sheet
20.8%
Draw No Bet
SC Corinthians Paulista win
65.3%
Santos FC win
34.7%