CR Flamengo
Home
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 3-0
Botafogo FR
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
61.2%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.39-0.94; Elo differential is 163. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 38.2pp; entropy 0.85. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 2 vs 11.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| CR Flamengo | Botafogo FR | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 2.09 | 1.47 |
| Avg goals against | 0.93 | 1.43 |
| BTTS rate | 56% | 71% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 2 | 11 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
CR Flamengo win
61.2%
Draw
23.0%
Botafogo FR win
15.8%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Double Chance
1X (CR Flamengo or draw)
84.2%
X2 (draw or Botafogo FR)
38.8%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
95.3%
Over 1.5
83.8%
Under 1.5
16.2%
Over 2.5
62.6%
Under 2.5
37.4%
Over 3.5
39.7%
Under 3.5
60.3%
Under 4.5
77.7%
Clean Sheet
CR Flamengo clean sheet
39.9%
Botafogo FR clean sheet
9.5%
Draw No Bet
CR Flamengo win
79.5%
Botafogo FR win
20.5%