Mirassol FC
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Sun, 30 Aug 2026 21:30 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 1-1
SE Palmeiras
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
49.4%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.09-1.60; Elo differential is -90. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 23.8pp; entropy 0.95. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 17 vs 1.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Mirassol FC | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.16 | 1.89 |
| Avg goals against | 1.67 | 0.89 |
| BTTS rate | 75% | 60% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 17 | 1 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Mirassol FC win
25.0%
Draw
25.6%
SE Palmeiras win
49.4%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53.1%
No
46.9%
Double Chance
1X (Mirassol FC or draw)
50.6%
X2 (draw or SE Palmeiras)
75.0%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.2%
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Over 2.5
49.2%
Under 2.5
50.8%
Over 3.5
26.1%
Under 3.5
73.9%
Under 4.5
87.8%
Clean Sheet
Mirassol FC clean sheet
20.5%
SE Palmeiras clean sheet
34.3%
Draw No Bet
Mirassol FC win
33.7%
SE Palmeiras win
66.3%