CR Vasco da Gama
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Sun, 30 Aug 2026 00:20 (UTC+0)
0-1
Final score: 3-1
Cruzeiro EC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
46.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.17-1.49; Elo differential is -111. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 17.7pp; entropy 0.97. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 19 vs 5.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| CR Vasco da Gama | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 0.83 | 1.53 |
| Avg goals against | 1.81 | 1.17 |
| BTTS rate | 53% | 68% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 19 | 5 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
CR Vasco da Gama win
25.1%
Draw
28.6%
Cruzeiro EC win
46.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52.5%
No
47.5%
Double Chance
1X (CR Vasco da Gama or draw)
53.7%
X2 (draw or Cruzeiro EC)
74.9%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.0%
Over 1.5
73.9%
Under 1.5
26.1%
Over 2.5
47.9%
Under 2.5
52.1%
Over 3.5
25.4%
Under 3.5
74.6%
Under 4.5
88.1%
Clean Sheet
CR Vasco da Gama clean sheet
23.4%
Cruzeiro EC clean sheet
33.0%
Draw No Bet
CR Vasco da Gama win
35.1%
Cruzeiro EC win
64.9%