Fluminense FC
Home
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 00:00 (UTC+0)
2-0
CR Vasco da Gama
Away
Confidence
63.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.02-0.84; Elo differential is 215. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 40.4pp; entropy 0.82. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 4 vs 19.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Fluminense FC | CR Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.49 | 0.83 |
| Avg goals against | 1.13 | 1.81 |
| BTTS rate | 75% | 53% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 4 | 19 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Fluminense FC win
63.0%
Draw
22.6%
CR Vasco da Gama win
14.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Double Chance
1X (Fluminense FC or draw)
85.7%
X2 (draw or CR Vasco da Gama)
37.0%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.2%
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Over 2.5
53.5%
Under 2.5
46.5%
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Under 4.5
84.7%
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC clean sheet
43.1%
CR Vasco da Gama clean sheet
13.2%
Draw No Bet
Fluminense FC win
81.5%
CR Vasco da Gama win
18.5%