CR Flamengo
Home
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 00:00 (UTC+0)
2-0
SC Corinthians Paulista
Away
Confidence
60.6%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.95-0.74; Elo differential is 188. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 36.6pp; entropy 0.85. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 2 vs 10.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| CR Flamengo | SC Corinthians Paulista | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 2.09 | 1.19 |
| Avg goals against | 0.93 | 1.04 |
| BTTS rate | 56% | 53% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 2 | 10 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
CR Flamengo win
60.6%
Draw
23.9%
SC Corinthians Paulista win
15.5%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45.2%
No
54.8%
Double Chance
1X (CR Flamengo or draw)
84.5%
X2 (draw or SC Corinthians Paulista)
39.4%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.5%
Over 1.5
76.1%
Under 1.5
23.9%
Over 2.5
49.9%
Under 2.5
50.1%
Over 3.5
27.1%
Under 3.5
72.9%
Under 4.5
86.7%
Clean Sheet
CR Flamengo clean sheet
48.6%
SC Corinthians Paulista clean sheet
13.7%
Draw No Bet
CR Flamengo win
79.6%
SC Corinthians Paulista win
20.4%