Mirassol FC
Home
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 00:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
EC Vitória
Away
Confidence
48.4%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.55-0.86; Elo differential is 70. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 22.3pp; entropy 0.96. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 17 vs 12.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Mirassol FC | EC Vitória | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.16 | 0.77 |
| Avg goals against | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| BTTS rate | 75% | 23% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 17 | 12 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Mirassol FC win
48.4%
Draw
26.1%
EC Vitória win
25.5%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47.0%
No
53.0%
Double Chance
1X (Mirassol FC or draw)
74.5%
X2 (draw or EC Vitória)
51.6%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.0%
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Over 2.5
43.6%
Under 2.5
56.4%
Over 3.5
22.2%
Under 3.5
77.8%
Under 4.5
91.1%
Clean Sheet
Mirassol FC clean sheet
40.8%
EC Vitória clean sheet
21.2%
Draw No Bet
Mirassol FC win
65.5%
EC Vitória win
34.5%