CA Paranaense
Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 00:00 (UTC+0)
2-1
EC Bahia
Away
Confidence
47.6%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.64-1.17; Elo differential is 60. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 21.0pp; entropy 0.96. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 3 vs 5.
Predicted at 04 Sep 2026, 06:02 UTC
Team form
| CA Paranaense | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.62 | 1.53 |
| Avg goals against | 1.03 | 1.17 |
| BTTS rate | 55% | 60% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 3 | 5 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
CA Paranaense win
47.6%
Draw
25.8%
EC Bahia win
26.6%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%
Double Chance
1X (CA Paranaense or draw)
73.4%
X2 (draw or EC Bahia)
52.4%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.3%
Over 1.5
77.9%
Under 1.5
22.1%
Over 2.5
53.5%
Under 2.5
46.5%
Over 3.5
31.2%
Under 3.5
68.8%
Under 4.5
84.5%
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense clean sheet
30.9%
EC Bahia clean sheet
19.3%
Draw No Bet
CA Paranaense win
64.1%
EC Bahia win
35.9%