CA Mineiro
Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
2-0
Final score: 1-1
Chapecoense AF
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
64.8%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.06-0.85; Elo differential is 185. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 43.6pp; entropy 0.81. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 8 vs 20.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 02:02 UTC
Team form
| CA Mineiro | Chapecoense AF | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.44 | 1.05 |
| Avg goals against | 1.05 | 2.11 |
| BTTS rate | 50% | 62% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 8 | 20 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
CA Mineiro win
64.8%
Draw
21.3%
Chapecoense AF win
13.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50.4%
No
49.6%
Double Chance
1X (CA Mineiro or draw)
86.1%
X2 (draw or Chapecoense AF)
35.2%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.9%
Over 1.5
79.2%
Under 1.5
20.8%
Over 2.5
55.5%
Under 2.5
44.5%
Over 3.5
33.1%
Under 3.5
66.9%
Under 4.5
83.1%
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro clean sheet
42.8%
Chapecoense AF clean sheet
12.8%
Draw No Bet
CA Mineiro win
82.3%
Chapecoense AF win
17.7%