← Back to predictions
Serie A (Brazil) SCHEDULED
SC Corinthians Paulista Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 00:00 (UTC+0)
0-1
Fluminense FC Away

Confidence

37.0%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.22-1.27; Elo differential is -38. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 2.5pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 10 vs 4.

Predicted at 04 Sep 2026, 06:02 UTC

Team form

SC Corinthians PaulistaFluminense FC
Avg goals for1.101.63
Avg goals against1.031.30
BTTS rate49%78%
Games sampled
Position104

Full market breakdown

1X2

SC Corinthians Paulista win
34.4%
Draw
28.6%
Fluminense FC win
37.0%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
51.4%
No
48.6%

Double Chance

1X (SC Corinthians Paulista or draw)
63.0%
X2 (draw or Fluminense FC)
65.6%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
90.9%
Over 1.5
71.7%
Under 1.5
28.3%
Over 2.5
45.2%
Under 2.5
54.8%
Over 3.5
23.9%
Under 3.5
76.1%
Under 4.5
89.3%

Clean Sheet

SC Corinthians Paulista clean sheet
28.1%
Fluminense FC clean sheet
29.6%

Draw No Bet

SC Corinthians Paulista win
48.2%
Fluminense FC win
51.8%