Grêmio FBPA
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Sat, 19 Sep 2026 00:00 (UTC+0)
1-2
SE Palmeiras
Away
Confidence
49.5%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.18-1.73; Elo differential is -113. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 24.1pp; entropy 0.95. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 15 vs 1.
Predicted at 04 Sep 2026, 06:02 UTC
Team form
| Grêmio FBPA | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.18 | 1.83 |
| Avg goals against | 1.37 | 0.90 |
| BTTS rate | 59% | 64% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 15 | 1 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Grêmio FBPA win
25.4%
Draw
25.1%
SE Palmeiras win
49.5%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57.6%
No
42.4%
Double Chance
1X (Grêmio FBPA or draw)
50.5%
X2 (draw or SE Palmeiras)
74.6%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.9%
Over 1.5
79.3%
Under 1.5
20.7%
Over 2.5
55.6%
Under 2.5
44.4%
Over 3.5
33.2%
Under 3.5
66.8%
Under 4.5
83.1%
Clean Sheet
Grêmio FBPA clean sheet
17.8%
SE Palmeiras clean sheet
30.7%
Draw No Bet
Grêmio FBPA win
33.9%
SE Palmeiras win
66.1%