EC Vitória
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Sat, 19 Sep 2026 00:00 (UTC+0)
0-1
Cruzeiro EC
Away
Confidence
40.1%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.13-1.32; Elo differential is -48. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 8.9pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 14 vs 6.
Predicted at 04 Sep 2026, 06:02 UTC
Team form
| EC Vitória | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 0.79 | 1.50 |
| Avg goals against | 1.48 | 1.33 |
| BTTS rate | 29% | 72% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 14 | 6 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
EC Vitória win
31.2%
Draw
28.7%
Cruzeiro EC win
40.1%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Double Chance
1X (EC Vitória or draw)
59.9%
X2 (draw or Cruzeiro EC)
68.8%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
90.6%
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Over 2.5
44.4%
Under 2.5
55.6%
Over 3.5
23.2%
Under 3.5
76.8%
Under 4.5
89.7%
Clean Sheet
EC Vitória clean sheet
26.7%
Cruzeiro EC clean sheet
32.2%
Draw No Bet
EC Vitória win
43.8%
Cruzeiro EC win
56.2%