EC Vitória
Home
Wed, 07 Oct 2026 23:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 4-0
Chapecoense AF
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
49.2%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.52-1.01; Elo differential is 124. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 22.5pp; entropy 0.95. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 13 vs 20.
Predicted at 24 Sep 2026, 15:30 UTC
Team form
| EC Vitória | Chapecoense AF | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| Avg goals against | 1.56 | 1.93 |
| BTTS rate | 38% | 71% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 13 | 20 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
EC Vitória win
49.2%
Draw
26.7%
Chapecoense AF win
24.1%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Double Chance
1X (EC Vitória or draw)
75.9%
X2 (draw or Chapecoense AF)
50.8%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
90.8%
Over 1.5
73.1%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Over 2.5
46.3%
Under 2.5
53.7%
Over 3.5
24.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
Under 4.5
88.7%
Clean Sheet
EC Vitória clean sheet
36.5%
Chapecoense AF clean sheet
21.9%
Draw No Bet
EC Vitória win
67.1%
Chapecoense AF win
32.9%