CA Mineiro
Home
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 2-1
Santos FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
43.2%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.61-1.33; Elo differential is 49. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 12.1pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 7 vs 8.
Predicted at 27 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| CA Mineiro | Santos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.42 | 1.66 |
| Avg goals against | 1.09 | 1.31 |
| BTTS rate | 54% | 67% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 7 | 8 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
CA Mineiro win
43.2%
Draw
25.8%
Santos FC win
31.1%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59.7%
No
40.3%
Double Chance
1X (CA Mineiro or draw)
68.9%
X2 (draw or Santos FC)
56.8%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.8%
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Over 2.5
56.3%
Under 2.5
43.7%
Over 3.5
33.9%
Under 3.5
66.1%
Under 4.5
82.6%
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro clean sheet
26.4%
Santos FC clean sheet
20.1%
Draw No Bet
CA Mineiro win
58.1%
Santos FC win
41.9%