EC Bahia
Home
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 22:30 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 1-0
Mirassol FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
52.8%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.72-1.00; Elo differential is 86. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 27.9pp; entropy 0.93. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 5 vs 15.
Predicted at 27 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| EC Bahia | Mirassol FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.63 | 1.26 |
| Avg goals against | 1.27 | 1.52 |
| BTTS rate | 69% | 71% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 5 | 15 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
EC Bahia win
52.8%
Draw
24.9%
Mirassol FC win
22.2%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Double Chance
1X (EC Bahia or draw)
77.8%
X2 (draw or Mirassol FC)
47.2%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.5%
Over 1.5
76.3%
Under 1.5
23.7%
Over 2.5
51.0%
Under 2.5
49.0%
Over 3.5
28.9%
Under 3.5
71.1%
Under 4.5
86.1%
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia clean sheet
36.8%
Mirassol FC clean sheet
18.0%
Draw No Bet
EC Bahia win
70.4%
Mirassol FC win
29.6%