CR Flamengo
Home
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 20:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 1-0
Fluminense FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
58.8%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.01-1.05; Elo differential is 133. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 36.9pp; entropy 0.88. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 1 vs 4.
Predicted at 27 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| CR Flamengo | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 2.04 | 1.62 |
| Avg goals against | 0.75 | 1.33 |
| BTTS rate | 51% | 77% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 1 | 4 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
CR Flamengo win
58.8%
Draw
21.9%
Fluminense FC win
19.2%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57.1%
No
42.9%
Double Chance
1X (CR Flamengo or draw)
80.8%
X2 (draw or Fluminense FC)
41.2%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.5%
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Over 2.5
59.1%
Under 2.5
40.9%
Over 3.5
36.7%
Under 3.5
63.3%
Under 4.5
80.5%
Clean Sheet
CR Flamengo clean sheet
35.1%
Fluminense FC clean sheet
13.3%
Draw No Bet
CR Flamengo win
75.4%
Fluminense FC win
24.6%