São Paulo FC
Home
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 00:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 2-1
EC Vitória
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
53.5%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.62-0.85; Elo differential is 64. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 27.5pp; entropy 0.92. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 11 vs 13.
Predicted at 26 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| São Paulo FC | EC Vitória | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.08 | 0.89 |
| Avg goals against | 1.14 | 1.56 |
| BTTS rate | 51% | 38% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 11 | 13 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
São Paulo FC win
53.5%
Draw
26.0%
EC Vitória win
20.5%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47.0%
No
53.0%
Double Chance
1X (São Paulo FC or draw)
79.5%
X2 (draw or EC Vitória)
46.5%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
90.7%
Over 1.5
71.7%
Under 1.5
28.3%
Over 2.5
45.0%
Under 2.5
55.0%
Over 3.5
23.7%
Under 3.5
76.3%
Under 4.5
89.4%
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC clean sheet
42.6%
EC Vitória clean sheet
19.7%
Draw No Bet
São Paulo FC win
72.2%
EC Vitória win
27.8%