Grêmio FBPA
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Sun, 18 Oct 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 2-4
Cruzeiro EC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
43.4%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.23-1.49; Elo differential is -87. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 13.3pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 17 vs 6.
Predicted at 04 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Grêmio FBPA | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.03 | 1.67 |
| Avg goals against | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| BTTS rate | 56% | 78% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 17 | 6 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Grêmio FBPA win
30.2%
Draw
26.4%
Cruzeiro EC win
43.4%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Double Chance
1X (Grêmio FBPA or draw)
56.6%
X2 (draw or Cruzeiro EC)
69.8%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.4%
Over 1.5
76.4%
Under 1.5
23.6%
Over 2.5
51.0%
Under 2.5
49.0%
Over 3.5
28.9%
Under 3.5
71.1%
Under 4.5
86.1%
Clean Sheet
Grêmio FBPA clean sheet
22.6%
Cruzeiro EC clean sheet
29.2%
Draw No Bet
Grêmio FBPA win
41.0%
Cruzeiro EC win
59.0%