São Paulo FC
Home
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 00:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 1-0
CR Vasco da Gama
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
50.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.56-0.96; Elo differential is 74. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 23.6pp; entropy 0.95. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 11 vs 16.
Predicted at 03 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| São Paulo FC | CR Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.08 | 1.37 |
| Avg goals against | 1.14 | 1.47 |
| BTTS rate | 51% | 53% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 11 | 16 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
São Paulo FC win
50.0%
Draw
26.5%
CR Vasco da Gama win
23.5%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49.8%
No
50.2%
Double Chance
1X (São Paulo FC or draw)
76.5%
X2 (draw or CR Vasco da Gama)
50.0%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.0%
Over 1.5
72.7%
Under 1.5
27.3%
Over 2.5
46.2%
Under 2.5
53.8%
Over 3.5
24.7%
Under 3.5
75.3%
Under 4.5
88.8%
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC clean sheet
38.2%
CR Vasco da Gama clean sheet
21.0%
Draw No Bet
São Paulo FC win
68.0%
CR Vasco da Gama win
32.0%