Chapecoense AF
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Sat, 24 Oct 2026 22:30 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 2-1
Fluminense FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
57.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.15-2.01; Elo differential is -145. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 35.3pp; entropy 0.89. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 20 vs 3.
Predicted at 11 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC
Team form
| Chapecoense AF | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.02 | 1.83 |
| Avg goals against | 2.11 | 1.22 |
| BTTS rate | 65% | 70% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 20 | 3 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Chapecoense AF win
21.3%
Draw
21.7%
Fluminense FC win
57.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59.8%
No
40.2%
Double Chance
1X (Chapecoense AF or draw)
43.0%
X2 (draw or Fluminense FC)
78.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
95.2%
Over 1.5
82.9%
Under 1.5
17.1%
Over 2.5
61.2%
Under 2.5
38.8%
Over 3.5
38.9%
Under 3.5
61.1%
Under 4.5
78.8%
Clean Sheet
Chapecoense AF clean sheet
13.4%
Fluminense FC clean sheet
31.5%
Draw No Bet
Chapecoense AF win
27.2%
Fluminense FC win
72.8%