Mirassol FC
Home
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 19:30 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 1-1
São Paulo FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
51.9%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.61-0.96; Elo differential is 99. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 26.6pp; entropy 0.93. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 15 vs 9.
Predicted at 11 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC
Team form
| Mirassol FC | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.23 | 1.07 |
| Avg goals against | 1.49 | 1.24 |
| BTTS rate | 73% | 56% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 15 | 9 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Mirassol FC win
51.9%
Draw
25.4%
São Paulo FC win
22.7%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
Double Chance
1X (Mirassol FC or draw)
77.3%
X2 (draw or São Paulo FC)
48.1%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.6%
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Over 2.5
47.3%
Under 2.5
52.7%
Over 3.5
25.7%
Under 3.5
74.3%
Under 4.5
88.2%
Clean Sheet
Mirassol FC clean sheet
38.3%
São Paulo FC clean sheet
20.0%
Draw No Bet
Mirassol FC win
69.6%
São Paulo FC win
30.4%