FC Twente '65
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Wed, 09 Sep 2026 16:45 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 1-0
Telstar 1963
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
55.2%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.96-1.10; Elo differential is 154. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 29.1pp; entropy 0.90. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 12 vs 13.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 22:46 UTC
Team form
| FC Twente '65 | Telstar 1963 | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.79 | 1.66 |
| Avg goals against | 1.20 | 1.63 |
| BTTS rate | 64% | 77% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 12 | 13 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
FC Twente '65 win
55.2%
Draw
26.1%
Telstar 1963 win
18.7%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Double Chance
1X (FC Twente '65 or draw)
81.3%
X2 (draw or Telstar 1963)
44.8%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.2%
Over 1.5
81.6%
Under 1.5
18.4%
Over 2.5
58.3%
Under 2.5
41.7%
Over 3.5
35.0%
Under 3.5
65.0%
Under 4.5
82.4%
Clean Sheet
FC Twente '65 clean sheet
34.3%
Telstar 1963 clean sheet
14.0%
Draw No Bet
FC Twente '65 win
74.7%
Telstar 1963 win
25.3%