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Eredivisie FINISHED
FC Groningen Home
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 10:15 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 2-2
FC Twente '65 Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed Exact score missed

Confidence

35.7%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.36-1.45; Elo differential is -20. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 0.5pp; entropy 1.00. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 5 vs 12.

Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 22:46 UTC

Team form

FC GroningenFC Twente '65
Avg goals for1.761.79
Avg goals against1.701.20
BTTS rate77%64%
Games sampled——
Position512

Full market breakdown

1X2

FC Groningen win
35.2%
Draw
29.2%
FC Twente '65 win
35.7%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%

Double Chance

1X (FC Groningen or draw)
64.3%
X2 (draw or FC Twente '65)
64.8%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
92.5%
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Under 4.5
85.7%

Clean Sheet

FC Groningen clean sheet
23.8%
FC Twente '65 clean sheet
26.4%

Draw No Bet

FC Groningen win
49.6%
FC Twente '65 win
50.4%