US Sassuolo Calcio
Home
Mon, 02 Nov 2026 17:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
ACF Fiorentina
Away
Confidence
51.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.78-1.22; Elo differential is 68. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 55%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 25.2pp; entropy 0.94. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 12 vs 19.
Predicted at 19 Oct 2026, 02:02 UTC
Team form
| US Sassuolo Calcio | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.48 | 1.14 |
| Avg goals against | 1.77 | 1.82 |
| BTTS rate | 82% | 64% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 12 | 19 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
US Sassuolo Calcio win
51.3%
Draw
22.5%
ACF Fiorentina win
26.1%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59.0%
No
41.0%
Double Chance
1X (US Sassuolo Calcio or draw)
73.9%
X2 (draw or ACF Fiorentina)
48.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.6%
Over 1.5
80.5%
Under 1.5
19.5%
Over 2.5
57.7%
Under 2.5
42.3%
Over 3.5
35.3%
Under 3.5
64.7%
Under 4.5
81.5%
Clean Sheet
US Sassuolo Calcio clean sheet
29.5%
ACF Fiorentina clean sheet
16.8%
Draw No Bet
US Sassuolo Calcio win
66.3%
ACF Fiorentina win
33.7%