SS Lazio
Home
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 2-1
Parma Calcio 1913
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
61.5%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.80-0.79; Elo differential is 184. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 54%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 39.0pp; entropy 0.84. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 2 vs 18.
Predicted at 11 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC
Team form
| SS Lazio | Parma Calcio 1913 | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.55 | 0.73 |
| Avg goals against | 0.97 | 1.49 |
| BTTS rate | 47% | 44% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 2 | 18 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
SS Lazio win
61.5%
Draw
22.5%
Parma Calcio 1913 win
16.1%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46.4%
No
53.6%
Double Chance
1X (SS Lazio or draw)
83.9%
X2 (draw or Parma Calcio 1913)
38.5%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.9%
Over 1.5
73.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
Over 2.5
48.1%
Under 2.5
51.9%
Over 3.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
73.7%
Under 4.5
87.8%
Clean Sheet
SS Lazio clean sheet
45.3%
Parma Calcio 1913 clean sheet
16.5%
Draw No Bet
SS Lazio win
79.3%
Parma Calcio 1913 win
20.7%