AS Roma
Home
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
2-0
Final score: 2-0
Genoa CFC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
68.8%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.09-0.76; Elo differential is 282. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 55%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 49.6pp; entropy 0.75. Selective pick: ELITE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 1 vs 19.
Predicted at 03 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| AS Roma | Genoa CFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 2.23 | 0.81 |
| Avg goals against | 0.82 | 1.57 |
| BTTS rate | 47% | 52% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 1 | 19 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
AS Roma win
68.8%
Draw
19.3%
Genoa CFC win
11.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47.5%
No
52.5%
Double Chance
1X (AS Roma or draw)
88.1%
X2 (draw or Genoa CFC)
31.2%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.5%
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Over 2.5
54.2%
Under 2.5
45.8%
Over 3.5
31.9%
Under 3.5
68.1%
Under 4.5
84.0%
Clean Sheet
AS Roma clean sheet
46.6%
Genoa CFC clean sheet
12.4%
Draw No Bet
AS Roma win
85.3%
Genoa CFC win
14.7%