Frosinone Calcio
Home
Fri, 16 Oct 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 4-2
US Sassuolo Calcio
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
49.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.68-1.16; Elo differential is 89. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 37%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 23.1pp; entropy 0.95. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 6 vs 10.
Predicted at 02 Oct 2026, 06:03 UTC
Team form
| Frosinone Calcio | US Sassuolo Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.82 | 1.49 |
| Avg goals against | 0.79 | 1.56 |
| BTTS rate | 41% | 77% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 6 | 10 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Frosinone Calcio win
49.0%
Draw
25.1%
US Sassuolo Calcio win
25.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Double Chance
1X (Frosinone Calcio or draw)
74.1%
X2 (draw or US Sassuolo Calcio)
51.0%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.3%
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Over 2.5
54.1%
Under 2.5
45.9%
Over 3.5
31.8%
Under 3.5
68.2%
Under 4.5
84.1%
Clean Sheet
Frosinone Calcio clean sheet
31.3%
US Sassuolo Calcio clean sheet
18.6%
Draw No Bet
Frosinone Calcio win
65.4%
US Sassuolo Calcio win
34.6%