Atalanta BC
Home
Mon, 12 Oct 2026 16:30 (UTC+0)
2-0
Final score: 3-1
Venezia FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
65.2%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.15-0.95; Elo differential is 224. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 40%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 45.4pp; entropy 0.80. Selective pick: ELITE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 11 vs 20.
Predicted at 28 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Atalanta BC | Venezia FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.18 | 0.82 |
| Avg goals against | 1.41 | 2.56 |
| BTTS rate | 58% | 42% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 11 | 20 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Atalanta BC win
65.2%
Draw
19.8%
Venezia FC win
15.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Double Chance
1X (Atalanta BC or draw)
85.0%
X2 (draw or Venezia FC)
34.8%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.8%
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Over 2.5
59.9%
Under 2.5
40.1%
Over 3.5
37.5%
Under 3.5
62.5%
Under 4.5
79.8%
Clean Sheet
Atalanta BC clean sheet
38.8%
Venezia FC clean sheet
11.6%
Draw No Bet
Atalanta BC win
81.3%
Venezia FC win
18.7%