US Lecce
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Sun, 11 Oct 2026 13:00 (UTC+0)
0-1
Final score: 1-2
Bologna FC 1909
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
39.4%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.17-1.34; Elo differential is -11. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 61%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 7.4pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 12 vs 18.
Predicted at 27 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| US Lecce | Bologna FC 1909 | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 0.90 | 0.91 |
| Avg goals against | 1.64 | 1.28 |
| BTTS rate | 30% | 43% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 12 | 18 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
US Lecce win
32.0%
Draw
28.6%
Bologna FC 1909 win
39.4%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Double Chance
1X (US Lecce or draw)
60.6%
X2 (draw or Bologna FC 1909)
68.0%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
90.8%
Over 1.5
72.4%
Under 1.5
27.6%
Over 2.5
45.7%
Under 2.5
54.3%
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Under 4.5
89.1%
Clean Sheet
US Lecce clean sheet
26.2%
Bologna FC 1909 clean sheet
31.2%
Draw No Bet
US Lecce win
44.8%
Bologna FC 1909 win
55.2%