SS Lazio
Home
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 13:00 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 3-1
AC Monza
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
58.2%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.90-1.13; Elo differential is 298. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 40%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 36.5pp; entropy 0.88. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 3 vs 16.
Predicted at 27 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| SS Lazio | AC Monza | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.36 | 1.57 |
| Avg goals against | 0.97 | 2.32 |
| BTTS rate | 41% | 97% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 3 | 16 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
SS Lazio win
58.2%
Draw
21.8%
AC Monza win
20.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58.4%
No
41.6%
Double Chance
1X (SS Lazio or draw)
80.0%
X2 (draw or AC Monza)
41.8%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.3%
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Over 2.5
58.4%
Under 2.5
41.6%
Over 3.5
36.0%
Under 3.5
64.0%
Under 4.5
81.0%
Clean Sheet
SS Lazio clean sheet
32.4%
AC Monza clean sheet
14.9%
Draw No Bet
SS Lazio win
74.5%
AC Monza win
25.5%