SSC Napoli
Home
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 3-0
Frosinone Calcio
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
42.7%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.42-1.25; Elo differential is 135. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 37%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 11.7pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 9 vs 6.
Predicted at 26 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| SSC Napoli | Frosinone Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.34 | 1.82 |
| Avg goals against | 1.09 | 0.79 |
| BTTS rate | 49% | 41% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 9 | 6 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
SSC Napoli win
42.7%
Draw
26.3%
Frosinone Calcio win
31.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.9%
No
45.1%
Double Chance
1X (SSC Napoli or draw)
69.0%
X2 (draw or Frosinone Calcio)
57.3%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.0%
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Over 2.5
49.7%
Under 2.5
50.3%
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Under 4.5
86.9%
Clean Sheet
SSC Napoli clean sheet
28.8%
Frosinone Calcio clean sheet
24.3%
Draw No Bet
SSC Napoli win
58.0%
Frosinone Calcio win
42.0%