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Serie A FINISHED
Udinese Calcio Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 13:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 0-1
Cagliari Calcio Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed Exact score missed

Confidence

42.7%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.43-1.15; Elo differential is 79. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 88%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 13.1pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 8 vs 12.

Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 02:02 UTC

Team form

Udinese CalcioCagliari Calcio
Avg goals for1.410.94
Avg goals against1.141.18
BTTS rate46%38%
Games sampled——
Position812

Full market breakdown

1X2

Udinese Calcio win
42.7%
Draw
27.7%
Cagliari Calcio win
29.6%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%

Double Chance

1X (Udinese Calcio or draw)
70.4%
X2 (draw or Cagliari Calcio)
57.3%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
91.7%
Over 1.5
73.6%
Under 1.5
26.4%
Over 2.5
47.6%
Under 2.5
52.4%
Over 3.5
25.9%
Under 3.5
74.1%
Under 4.5
88.0%

Clean Sheet

Udinese Calcio clean sheet
31.7%
Cagliari Calcio clean sheet
24.0%

Draw No Bet

Udinese Calcio win
59.0%
Cagliari Calcio win
41.0%