SSC Napoli
Home
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 16:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 1-0
Bologna FC 1909
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
47.5%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.57-0.89; Elo differential is 164. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 94%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 20.3pp; entropy 0.96. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 5 vs 16.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| SSC Napoli | Bologna FC 1909 | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.58 | 1.07 |
| Avg goals against | 0.87 | 1.29 |
| BTTS rate | 39% | 38% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 5 | 16 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
SSC Napoli win
47.5%
Draw
25.2%
Bologna FC 1909 win
27.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46.6%
No
53.4%
Double Chance
1X (SSC Napoli or draw)
72.7%
X2 (draw or Bologna FC 1909)
52.5%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.6%
Over 1.5
71.0%
Under 1.5
29.0%
Over 2.5
43.9%
Under 2.5
56.1%
Over 3.5
21.9%
Under 3.5
78.1%
Under 4.5
90.4%
Clean Sheet
SSC Napoli clean sheet
40.7%
Bologna FC 1909 clean sheet
20.1%
Draw No Bet
SSC Napoli win
63.5%
Bologna FC 1909 win
36.5%