Juventus FC
Home
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 1-1
AC Milan
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
50.6%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.29-1.00; Elo differential is 90. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 89%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 25.4pp; entropy 0.94. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 8 vs 1.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Juventus FC | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.55 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals against | 0.85 | 0.98 |
| BTTS rate | 33% | 46% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 8 | 1 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Juventus FC win
50.6%
Draw
24.2%
AC Milan win
25.2%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47.9%
No
52.1%
Double Chance
1X (Juventus FC or draw)
74.8%
X2 (draw or AC Milan)
49.4%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
90.7%
Over 1.5
69.2%
Under 1.5
30.8%
Over 2.5
42.3%
Under 2.5
57.7%
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Under 4.5
92.0%
Clean Sheet
Juventus FC clean sheet
35.8%
AC Milan clean sheet
25.6%
Draw No Bet
Juventus FC win
66.8%
AC Milan win
33.2%