SS Lazio
Home
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 1-0
Genoa CFC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
44.8%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.26-0.88; Elo differential is 163. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 100%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 15.5pp; entropy 0.97. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 7 vs 17.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| SS Lazio | Genoa CFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.10 | 0.91 |
| Avg goals against | 1.09 | 1.32 |
| BTTS rate | 34% | 39% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 7 | 17 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
SS Lazio win
44.8%
Draw
29.3%
Genoa CFC win
25.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41.7%
No
58.3%
Double Chance
1X (SS Lazio or draw)
74.1%
X2 (draw or Genoa CFC)
55.2%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
88.4%
Over 1.5
63.1%
Under 1.5
36.9%
Over 2.5
36.2%
Under 2.5
63.8%
Over 3.5
16.1%
Under 3.5
83.9%
Under 4.5
93.8%
Clean Sheet
SS Lazio clean sheet
41.7%
Genoa CFC clean sheet
28.2%
Draw No Bet
SS Lazio win
63.4%
Genoa CFC win
36.6%