Cagliari Calcio
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Sun, 30 Aug 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
0-2
Final score: 0-1
FC Internazionale Milano
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
56.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 0.93-2.33; Elo differential is -168. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 89%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 28.3pp; entropy 0.89. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 9 vs 3.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Cagliari Calcio | FC Internazionale Milano | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.06 | 2.46 |
| Avg goals against | 1.21 | 1.13 |
| BTTS rate | 43% | 61% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 9 | 3 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Cagliari Calcio win
16.3%
Draw
27.7%
FC Internazionale Milano win
56.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Double Chance
1X (Cagliari Calcio or draw)
44.0%
X2 (draw or FC Internazionale Milano)
83.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
96.4%
Over 1.5
83.0%
Under 1.5
17.0%
Over 2.5
60.9%
Under 2.5
39.1%
Over 3.5
37.5%
Under 3.5
62.5%
Under 4.5
79.7%
Clean Sheet
Cagliari Calcio clean sheet
9.5%
FC Internazionale Milano clean sheet
40.8%
Draw No Bet
Cagliari Calcio win
22.5%
FC Internazionale Milano win
77.5%