AC Milan
Home
Fri, 28 Aug 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
2-0
Final score: 2-0
Venezia FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
59.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.84-0.60; Elo differential is 246. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 100%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 37.8pp; entropy 0.87. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 6 vs 17.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| AC Milan | Venezia FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.31 | 0.21 |
| Avg goals against | 1.11 | 1.86 |
| BTTS rate | 52% | 12% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 6 | 17 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
AC Milan win
59.3%
Draw
19.3%
Venezia FC win
21.5%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38.3%
No
61.7%
Double Chance
1X (AC Milan or draw)
78.5%
X2 (draw or Venezia FC)
40.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.2%
Over 1.5
72.3%
Under 1.5
27.7%
Over 2.5
43.5%
Under 2.5
56.5%
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Under 4.5
90.2%
Clean Sheet
AC Milan clean sheet
54.8%
Venezia FC clean sheet
14.7%
Draw No Bet
AC Milan win
73.4%
Venezia FC win
26.6%