SSC Napoli
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Sun, 30 Aug 2026 16:30 (UTC+0)
0-1
Final score: 1-2
Como 1907
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
38.5%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.16-1.14; Elo differential is 79. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 94%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 1.9pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 5 vs 10.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| SSC Napoli | Como 1907 | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.58 | 1.75 |
| Avg goals against | 0.87 | 0.81 |
| BTTS rate | 39% | 49% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 5 | 10 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
SSC Napoli win
36.6%
Draw
24.9%
Como 1907 win
38.5%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47.4%
No
52.6%
Double Chance
1X (SSC Napoli or draw)
61.5%
X2 (draw or Como 1907)
63.4%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.4%
Over 1.5
67.9%
Under 1.5
32.1%
Over 2.5
40.8%
Under 2.5
59.2%
Over 3.5
19.0%
Under 3.5
81.0%
Under 4.5
92.2%
Clean Sheet
SSC Napoli clean sheet
30.6%
Como 1907 clean sheet
30.6%
Draw No Bet
SSC Napoli win
48.8%
Como 1907 win
51.2%